// definition
MoF
Ministry of Finance Japan
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Short definition
Japan's finance ministry. The authority responsible for exchange-rate policy and decisions to intervene on the yen.
risk atlas
Knowledge map
Intuition
The MoF decides Japanese currency interventions. It does not always change the regime, but it can change the pace of the unwind.
Why it matters now
When USD/JPY tests politically sensitive zones, intervention risk becomes a market variable.
Related analyses
- Dollar-yen: the unwind riskUSD/JPY, the BoJ, intervention and carry liquidation.
Related guides
- Reading the carry tradeCarry mechanics, leverage and unwind risk.
- Reading the CFTC COT reportFutures positioning, trader categories and limits.
- Reading the dot plot and SEPDollar rate path and yield differential.
Related datasets
- risk.jsonPublic snapshot of the risk signals.
- signals/history.jsonPoint-in-time history of the signals.
- signals/history.csvThe same history as CSV.
- risk-diff.json1, 7 and 30-day diff of signals, sources and models.
Signals using it
- Yen Carry MonitorMethodology of the yen carry risk signal.
- Risk DiffRecent change in risk and source freshness.
Primary sources
- Bank of Japan & Ministry of Finance JapanJapanese monetary policy, BoJ statistics and FX interventions.
- Commodity Futures Trading CommissionYen and futures positioning through the COT.
- Federal Reserve & FREDDollar rates, fed funds and liquidity conditions.