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      "id": "article:accord-paix-ormuz-rouvre-scenarios",
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      "id": "article:collateral-rehypothecation-cle-de-voute",
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      "label": "Collatéral et réhypothécation : un même titre, plusieurs propriétaires, et la clé de toute la plomberie",
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      "id": "article:credit-prive-juin-2026-defaut-record-gating",
      "type": "article",
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      "id": "article:credit-prive-rachats-mega-ipo",
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      "id": "article:crise-ormuz-asie-impacts-economiques",
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      "label": "Crise d'Ormuz : la facture asiatique d'un choc énergétique, à l'heure de la trêve",
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      "id": "article:cross-currency-basis-prix-cache-dollar",
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      "label": "Cross-currency basis : le prix caché du dollar, quand la loi de la finance internationale se brise",
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      "id": "article:cuivre-shortage-ormuz-el-nino-2026",
      "type": "article",
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        "slug": "cuivre-shortage-ormuz-el-nino-2026"
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      "id": "article:dedollarisation-recit-vs-chiffres",
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      "id": "article:dollar-yen-intervention-risque-carry-2026",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "Dollar-yen : le risque n'est pas seulement le niveau, c'est le débouclage",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/dollar-yen-intervention-risque-carry-2026/",
      "meta": {
        "slug": "dollar-yen-intervention-risque-carry-2026"
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    {
      "id": "article:economie-des-intentions",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "De l'attention aux intentions : l'économie agentique et la résurrection du code 402",
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        "slug": "economie-des-intentions"
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      "id": "article:eurodollars-dollar-offshore-dette-cachee",
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      "id": "article:financement-circulaire-ia",
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      "id": "article:inflation-us-grand-come-back",
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      "label": "Inflation américaine : le choc énergétique de mars 2026, lu dans les chiffres",
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      "label": "La contagion silencieuse : comment le crédit privé tisse une toile invisible entre banques, assureurs, marchés actions, crypto et stablecoins",
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      "id": "article:la-guerre-diran-2026-seisme-economique-politique",
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      "id": "article:le-peuple-americain-actionnaire-de-lia-decryptage-dun-scam-presidentiel",
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        "slug": "le-peuple-americain-actionnaire-de-lia-decryptage-dun-scam-presidentiel"
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      "id": "article:liban-perdant-oublie-pari-syrien-trump",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "Liban : le grand perdant oublié, et le pari syrien très dangereux de Trump",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/liban-perdant-oublie-pari-syrien-trump/",
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        "slug": "liban-perdant-oublie-pari-syrien-trump"
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    },
    {
      "id": "article:mou-usa-iran-juin-2026",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "Le MOU USA-Iran : un cessez-le-feu qui déstabilise plus qu'il n'apaise",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/mou-usa-iran-juin-2026/",
      "meta": {
        "slug": "mou-usa-iran-juin-2026"
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    },
    {
      "id": "article:or-banques-centrales-dedollarisation-tonnes",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "L'or et les banques centrales : la dédollarisation silencieuse qui se compte en tonnes",
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      "meta": {
        "slug": "or-banques-centrales-dedollarisation-tonnes"
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    {
      "id": "article:point-situation-detroit-ormuz-avril-2026",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "Détroit d'Ormuz, avril 2026 : état des lieux d'un chokepoint bloqué",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/point-situation-detroit-ormuz-avril-2026/",
      "meta": {
        "slug": "point-situation-detroit-ormuz-avril-2026"
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      "id": "article:private-credit-2026-shadow-banking",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "Le private credit en 2026 : le nouveau roi du shadow banking qui commence à tousser (et à bégayer sur les retraits)",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/private-credit-2026-shadow-banking/",
      "meta": {
        "slug": "private-credit-2026-shadow-banking"
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      "id": "article:private-credit-semi-liquide-gating-hlend-2026",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "Fonds de crédit privé semi-liquides et gating : le cas HLEND (BlackRock) et les leçons pour les investisseurs particuliers en 2026",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/private-credit-semi-liquide-gating-hlend-2026/",
      "meta": {
        "slug": "private-credit-semi-liquide-gating-hlend-2026"
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    },
    {
      "id": "article:prix-import-mai-2026-petits-caracteres",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "Prix à l'import : +1,9 % en un mois, mais lisez les petits caractères",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/prix-import-mai-2026-petits-caracteres/",
      "meta": {
        "slug": "prix-import-mai-2026-petits-caracteres"
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    },
    {
      "id": "article:repo-collateral-fabrique-liquidite",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "Repo et collatéral : où se fabrique la liquidité, et où elle casse",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/repo-collateral-fabrique-liquidite/",
      "meta": {
        "slug": "repo-collateral-fabrique-liquidite"
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    },
    {
      "id": "article:risque-inflationniste-2026",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "Risque inflationniste persistant en 2026 : choc énergétique iranien, révisions haussières et défis pour les banques centrales",
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      "meta": {
        "slug": "risque-inflationniste-2026"
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    },
    {
      "id": "article:shadow-banking-intermediation-non-bancaire",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "Shadow banking : l'intermédiation non bancaire a dépassé les banques",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/shadow-banking-intermediation-non-bancaire/",
      "meta": {
        "slug": "shadow-banking-intermediation-non-bancaire"
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      "id": "article:softbank-margin-loan",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "Quand 110 milliards de collatéral ne suffisent pas à emprunter 6 milliards",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/softbank-margin-loan/",
      "meta": {
        "slug": "softbank-margin-loan"
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    },
    {
      "id": "article:spacex-ipo-tapis-rouge-sec",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "SpaceX entre en bourse, 12 juin 2026 : le tapis rouge que la SEC déroule à l'IPO la plus chère de l'histoire en tordant son règlement",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/spacex-ipo-tapis-rouge-sec/",
      "meta": {
        "slug": "spacex-ipo-tapis-rouge-sec"
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      "id": "article:strategy-pari-bitcoin-saylor",
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      "label": "Strategy : le pari bitcoin de Saylor",
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      "meta": {
        "slug": "strategy-pari-bitcoin-saylor"
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    },
    {
      "id": "article:taux-francais-pas-de-frexit",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "Non, la hausse des taux français ne signe pas une sortie de la France de la zone euro",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/taux-francais-pas-de-frexit/",
      "meta": {
        "slug": "taux-francais-pas-de-frexit"
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    {
      "id": "article:trump-famine-arme-destruction-massive",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "Coupes d'aide et choc sur les engrais : le risque alimentaire qui converge sur les pays pauvres",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/trump-famine-arme-destruction-massive/",
      "meta": {
        "slug": "trump-famine-arme-destruction-massive"
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      "id": "article:warsh-bilan-qt",
      "type": "article",
      "label": "Le bilan de la Fed, premier champ de bataille de Kevin Warsh",
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      "id": "article:zombie-funds-valorisations-privees",
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        "slug": "zombie-funds-valorisations-privees"
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    {
      "id": "claim:13flow:claim-53b32247e6add3",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Les deux sont dans le domaine public et lisibles sur EDGAR. 13FLOW ne prétend pas donner un accès qu'on n'aurait pas : il en industrialise la lecture et, surtout, il les croise, ce que les bases historiques (Dataroma, WhaleWisdom) font mal ou pas du tout.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/13flow/#claim-53b32247e6add3",
      "meta": {
        "localId": "claim-53b32247e6add3",
        "articleSlug": "13flow",
        "kind": "inférence",
        "date": "2026-06-14",
        "dateLabel": "publication 14 juin 2026",
        "claimDate": "2026-06-14",
        "observationDate": null,
        "observationStart": null,
        "observationEnd": null,
        "temporalPrecision": "unknown",
        "confidence": "auto-backfill",
        "reviewStatus": "reviewed"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "claim:13flow:claim-cfe7bde8c56261",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "L'outil est en ligne sur 13flow.eu et son code est public sur GitHub.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/13flow/#claim-cfe7bde8c56261",
      "meta": {
        "localId": "claim-cfe7bde8c56261",
        "articleSlug": "13flow",
        "kind": "unclassified-assertion",
        "date": "2026-06-14",
        "dateLabel": "publication 14 juin 2026",
        "claimDate": "2026-06-14",
        "observationDate": null,
        "observationStart": null,
        "observationEnd": null,
        "temporalPrecision": "unknown",
        "confidence": "auto-backfill",
        "reviewStatus": "reviewed"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "claim:accord-paix-ormuz-rouvre-scenarios:claim-0189c9bb8eabac",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Cette divergence d'interprétation est exactement le type de flou qui a fait dérailler le cessez-le-feu d'avril, comme je l'analysais dans les péages d'Ormuz et le rail USDT-Tron.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/accord-paix-ormuz-rouvre-scenarios/#claim-0189c9bb8eabac",
      "meta": {
        "localId": "claim-0189c9bb8eabac",
        "articleSlug": "accord-paix-ormuz-rouvre-scenarios",
        "kind": "unclassified-assertion",
        "date": "2026-06-16",
        "dateLabel": "publication 16 juin 2026",
        "claimDate": "2026-06-16",
        "observationDate": null,
        "observationStart": null,
        "observationEnd": null,
        "temporalPrecision": "unknown",
        "confidence": "auto-backfill",
        "reviewStatus": "reviewed"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "claim:accord-paix-ormuz-rouvre-scenarios:claim-703c85d3fa2634",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Les prochaines publications de CPI et les réunions du FOMC qui arbitreront ce choc énergétique sont à suivre sur le calendrier économique.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/accord-paix-ormuz-rouvre-scenarios/#claim-703c85d3fa2634",
      "meta": {
        "localId": "claim-703c85d3fa2634",
        "articleSlug": "accord-paix-ormuz-rouvre-scenarios",
        "kind": "unclassified-assertion",
        "date": "2026-06-16",
        "dateLabel": "publication 16 juin 2026",
        "claimDate": "2026-06-16",
        "observationDate": null,
        "observationStart": null,
        "observationEnd": null,
        "temporalPrecision": "unknown",
        "confidence": "auto-backfill",
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      }
    },
    {
      "id": "claim:accord-paix-ormuz-rouvre-scenarios:claim-a364242f456334",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Sauf que, comme je le notais déjà dans mon point de situation d'avril, une annonce de réouverture n'est pas une réouverture.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/accord-paix-ormuz-rouvre-scenarios/#claim-a364242f456334",
      "meta": {
        "localId": "claim-a364242f456334",
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        "dateLabel": "publication 16 juin 2026",
        "claimDate": "2026-06-16",
        "observationDate": null,
        "observationStart": null,
        "observationEnd": null,
        "temporalPrecision": "unknown",
        "confidence": "auto-backfill",
        "reviewStatus": "reviewed"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "claim:accord-paix-ormuz-rouvre-scenarios:claim-a498b1a9981685",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Pour suivre le baril en direct plutôt qu'au moment où j'écris, le dashboard commodities donne le Brent et le WTI à jour.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/accord-paix-ormuz-rouvre-scenarios/#claim-a498b1a9981685",
      "meta": {
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        "dateLabel": "publication 16 juin 2026",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:accord-paix-ormuz-rouvre-scenarios:claim-d2e323cff72337",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Dans cette configuration, le baril reste collé au-dessus de 90 dollars une bonne partie du second semestre, avec les conséquences que l'on connaît sur l'inflation importée, sujet que je développais dans le grand come-back de l'inflation US.",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:banques-regionales-us-liquidite-lcr:claim-411d71f4032902",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Le 10 février 2026, la Fed, l'OCC et la FDIC abrogent leurs FAQ sur le LCR et annoncent vouloir soumettre à consultation des changements réglementaires.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/banques-regionales-us-liquidite-lcr/#claim-411d71f4032902",
      "meta": {
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        "date": "2026-06-30",
        "dateLabel": "publication 30 juin 2026",
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        "observationDate": null,
        "observationStart": null,
        "observationEnd": null,
        "temporalPrecision": "unknown",
        "confidence": "auto-backfill",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:banques-regionales-us-liquidite-lcr:claim-4218489b13ced9",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Le 12 mars 2023, la Fed crée le BTFP, une facilité d'urgence prêtant à un an contre Treasuries et MBS d'agence valorisés au pair, donc sans tenir compte des pertes latentes.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/banques-regionales-us-liquidite-lcr/#claim-4218489b13ced9",
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        "localId": "claim-4218489b13ced9",
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        "observationDate": null,
        "observationStart": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:banques-regionales-us-liquidite-lcr:claim-4a1f892775f2a0",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Le coût de SVB pour le fonds de garantie de la FDIC est estimé à environ 20 milliards de dollars.",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:banques-regionales-us-liquidite-lcr:claim-647b986276afb9",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Les tensions résiduelles n'ont pas disparu : Jerome Powell a prévenu qu'il y aurait d'autres faillites parmi les petites et moyennes banques, sur fond d'immobilier commercial et de concurrence croissante des acteurs non bancaires.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/banques-regionales-us-liquidite-lcr/#claim-647b986276afb9",
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        "date": "2026-06-30",
        "dateLabel": "publication 30 juin 2026",
        "claimDate": "2026-06-30",
        "observationDate": null,
        "observationStart": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:banques-regionales-us-liquidite-lcr:claim-75eaf95efc8bda",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "La piste avancée : reconnaître dans le LCR la capacité d'emprunt au guichet de l'escompte contre collatéral pré-positionné, dans la limite d'un plafond (l'industrie évoque environ 20 %), et réduire le stigmate attaché à ce guichet.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/banques-regionales-us-liquidite-lcr/#claim-75eaf95efc8bda",
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        "date": "2026-06-30",
        "dateLabel": "publication 30 juin 2026",
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        "observationDate": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:banques-regionales-us-liquidite-lcr:claim-783cfeae725c6d",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Le resserrement quantitatif engagé en juin 2022 s'est achevé : le FOMC a mis fin à la réduction de son bilan le 1er décembre 2025.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/banques-regionales-us-liquidite-lcr/#claim-783cfeae725c6d",
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        "observationDate": "2022-06-01",
        "observationStart": "2022-06-01",
        "observationEnd": "2022-06-01",
        "temporalPrecision": "month",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:banques-regionales-us-liquidite-lcr:claim-957d0f3264ffd1",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Les banques détiennent des actifs liquides de haute qualité, les HQLA, bien au-delà du minimum, parce que le coussin LCR est en pratique inutilisable : une banque refuse de passer sous 100 % et vise en interne 115 à 120 %.",
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    },
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      "label": "Cette plomberie est détaillée dans notre guide sur la liquidité du Trésor, notre lecture du bilan de la Fed et notre analyse du marché repo.",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:banques-regionales-us-liquidite-lcr:claim-9ec02a2ceaf1d2",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "En décembre 2025, la Fed juge les réserves revenues à un niveau « ample » et reprend des achats de bons du Trésor, dits achats de gestion des réserves, pour les y maintenir ; la facilité permanente de pension passe en allotissement intégral le 10 décembre, et le RRP est retombé près de zéro.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/banques-regionales-us-liquidite-lcr/#claim-9ec02a2ceaf1d2",
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        "date": "2025-12-01",
        "dateLabel": "décembre 2025",
        "claimDate": "2026-06-30",
        "observationDate": "2025-12-01",
        "observationStart": "2025-12-01",
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        "temporalPrecision": "month",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:basis-trade-treasuries-levier:claim-285095ef708d55",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "On l'approche par deux proxys : les positions courtes nettes des fonds à effet de levier sur les futures Treasuries, publiées par la CFTC, et les volumes de repo sponsorisé suivis par l'OFR.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/basis-trade-treasuries-levier/#claim-285095ef708d55",
      "meta": {
        "localId": "claim-285095ef708d55",
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        "date": "2026-06-23",
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        "observationStart": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:basis-trade-treasuries-levier:claim-6a2d036e95420f",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Suite directe de notre article sur le repo et le collatéral, voici l'anatomie d'un trade que les régulateurs surveillent comme le lait sur le feu.",
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        "date": "2026-06-23",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:basis-trade-treasuries-levier:claim-b2a2577711a31a",
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      "label": "Un fonds capte cet écart en montant trois jambes simultanées : il achète l'obligation au comptant, vend le contrat à terme, et finance l'achat en repo en mettant l'obligation en garantie.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/basis-trade-treasuries-levier/#claim-b2a2577711a31a",
      "meta": {
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        "date": "2026-06-23",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:binance-mica-lagarde:claim-4b48c47bced437",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Le principe central tient à un mécanisme : un agrément délivré par une autorité nationale compétente (NCA) ouvre un « passeport » vers les 27 États membres.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/binance-mica-lagarde/#claim-4b48c47bced437",
      "meta": {
        "localId": "claim-4b48c47bced437",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "dateLabel": "publication 19 juin 2026",
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        "observationDate": null,
        "observationStart": null,
        "observationEnd": null,
        "temporalPrecision": "unknown",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:binance-mica-lagarde:claim-af759f2c8b3a3b",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Il s'applique par étapes : les règles sur les stablecoins (ART et EMT) depuis le 30 juin 2024, le régime des prestataires de services (CASP) depuis le 30 décembre 2024, avec une fenêtre transitoire prévue à l'article 143 qui se referme le 1er juillet 2026.",
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        "observationStart": "2024-06-30",
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        "temporalPrecision": "day",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:binance-mica-lagarde:claim-f1e70ec911a948",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "MiCA, le règlement (UE) 2023/1114 adopté en juin 2023, est le cadre unifié de l'Union pour les crypto-actifs non couverts par la réglementation financière existante.",
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        "observationStart": "2023-06-01",
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        "temporalPrecision": "month",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:boom-ia-bis-fragilite-financiere:claim-e3603be4179fd4",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Les cinq grands hyperscalers prévoient plus de 1 000 milliards de dollars de capex lié à l'IA sur 2025 et 2026, un rythme qui dépasse leurs bénéfices et leur flux de trésorerie libre et les pousse vers l'endettement.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/boom-ia-bis-fragilite-financiere/#claim-e3603be4179fd4",
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        "date": "2025-01-01",
        "dateLabel": "2025",
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        "observationDate": "2025-01-01",
        "observationStart": "2025-01-01",
        "observationEnd": "2025-01-01",
        "temporalPrecision": "year",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:boom-ia-bis-fragilite-financiere:claim-fde669da43bb9e",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Depuis janvier 2025, les primes de CDS des émetteurs de l'IA notés BBB ou mieux montent alors que l'indice large de qualité comparable se détend : le crédit commence à distinguer ces émetteurs.",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:chine-importations-petrole-brut-chute-2026:claim-617f0c5b6887c7",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Pour suivre la normalisation du marché plutôt qu’une photographie mensuelle, le dashboard commodities fournit les principaux prix énergétiques à jour.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/chine-importations-petrole-brut-chute-2026/#claim-617f0c5b6887c7",
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    {
      "id": "claim:chine-importations-petrole-brut-chute-2026:claim-dba0e036364aa8",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Le choc décrit dans l’analyse de la facture asiatique de la crise d’Ormuz s’est donc transmis directement aux terminaux et aux raffineries chinoises.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/chine-importations-petrole-brut-chute-2026/#claim-dba0e036364aa8",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:clarity-act-regulation-crypto-etats-unis:claim-d38ba714b92b97",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Comment un projet de loi de 309 pages s'apprête à mettre fin à dix ans de guerre de juridictions entre SEC et CFTC, et ce que ça change pour l'industrie",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/clarity-act-regulation-crypto-etats-unis/#claim-d38ba714b92b97",
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        "date": "2026-05-17",
        "dateLabel": "publication 17 mai 2026",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:clarity-act-trump-obstacle-conflit-interets:claim-68016c47d7af12",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Cette clarté juridique est le Graal d'un secteur qui la juge indispensable après des années de régulation par l'application, dans le prolongement du GENIUS Act sur les stablecoins.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/clarity-act-trump-obstacle-conflit-interets/#claim-68016c47d7af12",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:clarity-act-trump-obstacle-conflit-interets:claim-80cced4868b186",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Reuters souligne le caractère à somme nulle de l'opération : les gains de la famille font face à environ 2,25 milliards de pertes nettes côté investisseurs particuliers, une mécanique que nous avions disséquée dans notre décryptage du « scam présidentiel ».",
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        "localId": "claim-80cced4868b186",
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    },
    {
      "id": "claim:clarity-act-trump-obstacle-conflit-interets:claim-b576b4052c0d5f",
      "type": "claim",
      "label": "Le Digital Asset Market Clarity Act organise une répartition des compétences : la CFTC obtiendrait l'autorité sur les marchés au comptant des actifs numériques de matière première, comme le bitcoin, tandis que la SEC garderait les actifs assimilés à des contrats d'investissement.",
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      "label": "Sa composante portant sur les plus gros emprunteurs sous LBO, le PMR, est plus élevée encore, autour de 9,5 % selon le rapport Fitch du 15 juin.",
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      "label": "Ce sont des introductions d'intérêts payés en nature (le PIK, qui empile de la dette au lieu de verser du cash) et des extensions de maturité.",
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      "label": "C'est la même logique d'ingénierie financière que celle observée sur le refus de prêt à SoftBank ou autour de l'IPO de SpaceX : on adosse, on garantit, on déconsolide.",
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      "label": "L'indice de référence de Fitch, le Private Credit Default Rate (PCDR), suit environ 1 200 emprunteurs du middle market suivis par l'agence.",
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      "label": "Cet article fait le point, sur sources primaires, dans la continuité du fil crédit privé du journal et du livre Auditer l'Opacité.",
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      "label": "Le contexte de taux que la Fed et le débat sur son bilan viennent compliquer n'est pas une toile de fond neutre : c'est le multiplicateur du stress.",
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      "label": "Les BDC perpétuels et fonds semi-liquides promettent une fenêtre de rachat trimestrielle, en général plafonnée à 5 % de l'actif net par trimestre, tout en détenant des prêts illiquides qui ne se vendent pas en un jour.",
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      "label": "C'est le scénario que je décrivais dès le premier gating de HLEND : la fenêtre de liquidité tient tant que personne ne s'en sert en masse.",
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      "label": "En parallèle, aux États-Unis, le FSOC a remis en consultation jusqu'au 14 mai un cadre de désignation des non-banques systémiques, et l'Office of Financial Research a publié une note sur la mesure des expositions de contrepartie au crédit privé via le Form PF.",
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      "label": "Selon Stanger, les ventes de BDC (business development companies, le véhicule grand public du crédit privé) sont tombées à environ 1,6 milliard en avril, en baisse de 74 % sur un an et au plus bas mensuel depuis mai 2023.",
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    {
      "id": "claim:credit-prive-rachats-mega-ipo:claim-8b9ae954df5116",
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      "label": "Quatre signaux méritent un suivi rapproché : le taux de rachat trimestriel rapporté au plafond effectif sur les grands fonds ; l'écart persistant entre valeurs liquidatives au modèle et comparables cotés ; la part des intérêts capitalisés (PIK) dans les revenus déclarés, indice d'emprunteurs qui ne paient plus en numéraire ;...",
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      "label": "Le 6 mai 2026, le Conseil de stabilité financière (FSB) a estimé le marché entre 1 500 et 2 000 milliards fin 2024, fortement concentré aux États-Unis, en zone euro et au Royaume-Uni, et averti que sa complexité, son levier et ses interconnexions pouvaient amplifier un choc.",
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      "label": "La Fed de New York rappelle pour sa part que les banques restent les pourvoyeurs de financement et de liquidité des acteurs non bancaires (NBFI) : le risque, in fine, leur revient, dans un schéma qui évoque les conduits ABCP et les véhicules SIV d'avant 2008.",
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      "label": "Les actifs de crédit privé sont valorisés au modèle plutôt qu'au marché, avec un décalage de 60 à 90 jours sur les valeurs liquidatives.",
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      "id": "claim:crise-ormuz-asie-impacts-economiques:claim-019f2ca689f20f",
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      "label": "De l'autre, sa dépendance aux importations énergétiques via le détroit est considérable : environ 55 % de ses importations de brut et 90 % de ses importations de GPL transitent par Ormuz.",
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      "label": "La Banque asiatique de développement (ADB), dans une mise à jour spéciale du 29 avril 2026, a abaissé sa prévision de croissance pour l'Asie-Pacifique à 4,7 % en 2026 et 4,8 % en 2027, contre 5,1 % dans les deux cas auparavant, et relevé l'inflation régionale 2026 de 3,6 % à 5,2 %, sur une hypothèse de pétrole autour de 96 dollars le...",
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      "label": "Le Japon et la Corée du Sud dépendent massivement du naphta importé du Qatar et du Koweït, dont les exportations ont été entravées par le blocage du détroit d'Ormuz.",
      "url": "https://l0g.fr/posts/crise-ormuz-asie-impacts-economiques/#claim-6e4893b9c53747",
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      "label": "Le FMI, dans ses perspectives d'avril 2026, a ramené la croissance mondiale à 3,1 % en 2026, contre 3,4 % en 2025, et relevé l'inflation mondiale à 4,4 %, sur l'hypothèse d'une hausse de 19 % des prix de l'énergie ; la zone euro tombe à 1,1 %.",
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      "label": "Pour suivre ces dynamiques dans le temps plutôt que sur un seul communiqué, le tableau de bord risque macro US agrège les séries d'inflation et de pressions sur les prix.",
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      "label": "BIS statistics",
      "url": "https://www.bis.org/statistics/index.htm",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "bis",
        "role": "Statistiques bancaires internationales, dette, dérivés et paiements.",
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        "delay": "Variable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "dataset:bis:working-papers",
      "type": "dataset",
      "label": "Working Papers",
      "url": "https://www.bis.org/list/wpapers/index.htm",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "bis",
        "role": "Travaux de recherche sur stabilité, monnaie, crédit et infrastructures financières.",
        "cadence": "Au fil des publications",
        "delay": "Éditorial"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "dataset:bls-bea:bea-nipa-pce-gdp",
      "type": "dataset",
      "label": "BEA NIPA / PCE / GDP",
      "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "bls-bea",
        "role": "Comptes nationaux, PIB, PCE, revenus et consommation.",
        "cadence": "Mensuelle à trimestrielle",
        "delay": "Calendrier officiel"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "dataset:bls-bea:bls-cpi-employment",
      "type": "dataset",
      "label": "BLS CPI / Employment",
      "url": "https://www.bls.gov/data/",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "bls-bea",
        "role": "Inflation consommateurs, emploi, chômage, salaires et productivité.",
        "cadence": "Mensuelle à trimestrielle",
        "delay": "Calendrier officiel"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "dataset:cftc:commitments-of-traders",
      "type": "dataset",
      "label": "Commitments of Traders",
      "url": "https://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "cftc",
        "role": "Positions agrégées par catégorie de participants sur marchés futures.",
        "cadence": "Hebdomadaire",
        "delay": "Quelques jours"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "dataset:cftc:historical-compressed",
      "type": "dataset",
      "label": "Historical Compressed",
      "url": "https://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/HistoricalCompressed/index.htm",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "cftc",
        "role": "Fichiers historiques téléchargeables pour backtests et séries longues.",
        "cadence": "Hebdomadaire",
        "delay": "Quelques jours"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "dataset:congress-govinfo-cbo:cbo-cost-estimates",
      "type": "dataset",
      "label": "CBO cost estimates",
      "url": "https://www.cbo.gov/cost-estimates",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "congress-govinfo-cbo",
        "role": "Estimations budgétaires et analyses économiques des textes.",
        "cadence": "Au fil des estimations",
        "delay": "Variable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "dataset:congress-govinfo-cbo:congress-gov-legislation",
      "type": "dataset",
      "label": "Congress.gov legislation",
      "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "congress-govinfo-cbo",
        "role": "Textes de loi, amendements, sponsors, statuts et historique législatif.",
        "cadence": "Au fil des procédures",
        "delay": "Publication officielle"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "dataset:congress-govinfo-cbo:govinfo",
      "type": "dataset",
      "label": "GovInfo",
      "url": "https://www.govinfo.gov/",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "congress-govinfo-cbo",
        "role": "Federal Register, Congressional Record, lois publiques et documents gouvernementaux.",
        "cadence": "Au fil des publications",
        "delay": "Publication officielle"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "dataset:ecb-eurostat:ecb-data-portal",
      "type": "dataset",
      "label": "ECB Data Portal",
      "url": "https://data.ecb.europa.eu/",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "ecb-eurostat",
        "role": "Taux, €STR, CISS, monnaie, crédit, rendements souverains et variables financières.",
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        "delay": "Variable"
      }
    },
    {
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      "type": "dataset",
      "label": "ECB reference exchange rates",
      "url": "https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/euro_reference_exchange_rates/html/index.en.html",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "ecb-eurostat",
        "role": "Taux de change de référence utilisés notamment pour USD/JPY via BCE.",
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        "delay": "Jour ouvré"
      }
    },
    {
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      "type": "dataset",
      "label": "Eurostat",
      "url": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "ecb-eurostat",
        "role": "HICP, production industrielle, ventes de détail, chômage, faillites et sentiment.",
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        "delay": "Variable selon publication"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "dataset:eia-energy:natural-gas",
      "type": "dataset",
      "label": "Natural gas",
      "url": "https://www.eia.gov/naturalgas/",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "eia-energy",
        "role": "Production, stockage, consommation et prix gaz naturel.",
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        "delay": "Variable"
      }
    },
    {
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      "url": "https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "eia-energy",
        "role": "Stocks, production, consommation et prix pétrole.",
        "cadence": "Hebdomadaire à mensuelle",
        "delay": "Variable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "dataset:eia-energy:short-term-energy-outlook",
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      "label": "Short-Term Energy Outlook",
      "url": "https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "eia-energy",
        "role": "Scénarios EIA de court terme sur prix, offre et demande.",
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        "delay": "Éditorial"
      }
    },
    {
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      "label": "Federal Reserve statistical releases",
      "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/data.htm",
      "meta": {
        "sourceSlug": "federal-reserve-fred",
        "role": "Communiqués, bilan et statistiques monétaires officielles.",
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        "delay": "Variable"
      }
    },
    {
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        "sourceSlug": "federal-reserve-fred",
        "role": "Catalogue macro, taux, inflation, activité, emploi et conditions financières.",
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        "delay": "Variable selon publication source"
      }
    },
    {
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        "sourceSlug": "federal-reserve-fred",
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      }
    },
    {
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    },
    {
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    },
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        "sourceSlug": "sec-edgar",
        "role": "Transactions déclarées par dirigeants, administrateurs et actionnaires à plus de 10 %.",
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      }
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        "delay": "Publication officielle"
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    {
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    },
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        "delay": "Publication officielle"
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